The posterior distributions for the fifth entry in the list of Salmonella subtypes (q5), which is S. enterica serotype Enteritidis PT 21, as a function of the possible values of q5. The shown posterior distributions are calculated by the Gibbs-Sampler software OpenBUGS using the Bayes DB model presented in Jabin et al. (2019) for the monitoring data and a sample size of 1e5. Subfigure A) shows the posterior distribution calculated for \(q_i \sim uniform(0,0.2)\). The chosen limits of the uniform distribution lead to a cut off in the posterior distribution. When enlarging the interval defining the prior distribution to \(q_i \sim uniform(0,1)\), then a complete posterior distribution is produced by OpenBUGS (see Subfigure B)).

 
  Part of: Sundermann EM, Correia Carreira G, Käsbohrer A (2021) An FSKX compliant source attribution model for salmonellosis and a look at its major hidden pitfalls. Food Modelling Journal 2: e70008. https://doi.org/10.3897/fmj.2.70008