An FSKX compliant source attribution model for salmonellosis and a look at its major hidden pitfalls

Article metadata

Introduction

Model metadata

Material and methods

Data
- Baseline data
- Monitoring data
- Human data
Mathematical model
- Hald model
- David model—a variation of the Hald model
- Bayes data-based (DB) model—a variation of the David model

Simulations

Results

Successfully executing a Bayesian model using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations
- The effect of prior distributions on completeness of posterior distributions
- The effect of initial values on convergence and uncertainty estimates
- The effect of consumption data on the consistency of source attribution estimates
Source attribution determination

Discussion

Conclusion

Acknowledgements

References

Supplementary files